Win rate
61.8%
Trades
34
Profit factor
3.04
profit > loss
Return
+28.5%
under hold +204.2%
Drawdown
3.0%
Account curve
XRPUSDT · 4H2018-09-21 → 2026-09-19 · 8.0 years
Wins and losses
- Wins21
- Losses13
How it trades
- 1
Timeframe
4H
- 2
Setup / filter
no separate filter, the entry rule is the whole setup
- 3
Entry
candle closes past a resistance trendline with 3+ taps at least 6 candles apart, spanning 126+ candles (tap tolerance 0.15%), one attempt per line → market at the next candle open
- 4
Stop
safety trendline through the last two confirmed pivot lows, measured 4 candles after the fill (fallback: lowest low of the last 20 candles)
- 5
Target / exit
Target: 2R (R = entry-to-stop distance)
- 6
Risk
1% of equity risked to the stop
Evidence
What this test cannot reproduce
Her shorts (a rising support trendline broken downward) cannot be executed on Spot, so only the long side is tested.
Her instruments are XPTUSD, WTI, XAUUSD and US30 on 4H; this test runs on the crypto pair you named, which behaves differently.
"Nearest horizontal support/resistance giving 2R or more" is approximated as a fixed 2R target.
The safety trendline is the line through the last two confirmed pivot lows; when those lows are not rising, the lowest low of the last 20 candles is used instead.
Trendline drawing is mechanical (confirmed 3-bar pivots, tap tolerance 0.15%), not hand-drawn, so individual lines can differ from hers.
Every backtest of these rules
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Win rate
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Profit factor
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Max drawdown
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Win rate
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Profit factor
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Max drawdown
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Return
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Max drawdown
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Win rate
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Profit factor
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Max drawdown
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Max drawdown
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Win rate
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Profit factor
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Max drawdown
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