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Free viewBacktest the Tori Trades trendline strategy on ADAUSDT
On the 4-hour chart of Cardano it buys when candle closes past a resistance trendline with 3+ taps at least 6 candles apart, spanning 126+ candles (tap tolerance 0.15%), one attempt per line. Stop at the safety trendline, target 2× risk, 1% of the account per trade.
6 notes about this test
- Her shorts (a rising support trendline broken downward) cannot be executed on Spot, so only the long side is tested.
- Her instruments are XPTUSD, WTI, XAUUSD and US30 on 4H; this test runs on the crypto pair you named, which behaves differently.
- "Nearest horizontal support/resistance giving 2R or more" is approximated as a fixed 2R target.
- The safety trendline is the line through the last two confirmed pivot lows; when those lows are not rising, the lowest low of the last 20 candles is used instead.
- Trendline drawing is mechanical (confirmed 3-bar pivots, tap tolerance 0.15%), not hand-drawn, so individual lines can differ from hers.
- 32 trades: the most these rules produce in 8.3 years of 4h candles, short of the 100 a confident read wants.
Same rules on 4 markets78 trades · 42.3% win · +0.27R avg
| Market | Trades | Win | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| ADAUSDT | 32 | 40.6% | +0.23R |
| BTCUSDT | 16 | 37.5% | +0.12R |
| ETHUSDT | 15 | 40.0% | +0.22R |
| SOLUSDT | 15 | 53.3% | +0.58R |
| All · 4h | 78 | 42.3% | +0.27R |
Still under 100 trades after every market in the basket.
Market
Timeframe
Account
History
Requested 1996-10-17 → 2026-10-18 · traded from 2018-06-23 (warm-up 405 bars)
- This report was produced before R was measured in stop distances; 2 of the 32 stored trades were size-capped, so the R figures first shown for them (average trade, winners, losers) were % of equity per 1% risk, not stop distances. This page now shows the corrected reading; the stored original is unchanged. Re-run to get a report produced with the fix.
Verdict
INCONCLUSIVEwin rate · 32 trades, too few to judge
- Ended above the starting budget+7.4% · 0.146R
- Win rate 50% or above40.6%
- More than 50 trades32 trades
- Under 10% of trades on missing bars32 of 32 trades
- Verdict rules v9
- Trades
- 32
- Timeframe
- 4H
- Tested over
- 3038 days
- Time in market
- 4.9%
32 of 32 trades depend on missing bars
What to watch
- 2 of 32 trades were size-capped at 1.0× equity
- Could not be checked with doubled costs
- Too few trades to judge: 32 of the 40 this timeframe needs
- Could not be checked on unseen data (not run)
What the data supports
Best month
+2.0%
2018-10 · 1 of 32 trades · best of 27 months
Made money after costs
profit factor 1.37
all 32 trades
Net return
+7.4%
all 32 trades
Average trade
+0.146R
all 32 trades
Proof
TradingView twin
BINANCE:ADAUSDT4HSlippageTrendlineGapped stop
- Slippage TradingView charges slippage as commission, so stop and market fills differ slightly.
- Trendline The script draws a simpler line, through the last two swing points.
- Gapped stop When price gaps past the stop, the backtest skips the trade; the script enters and is stopped out.
Account balance
$10,000
Starting balance
$16,044
Buy & hold
- Balance
- Buy & hold
Trust scoreThe fixed factors behind the trust score, each with its own measurement.
—
Grade
INCONCLUSIVE
Verdict
Strategy replay
- Pattern
- Stop
- TP1
Entry
0.171934
Buy · 30 Jul, 12:00 NY · 16 bars
Stop loss
0.166209
3.33% away
Take profit
0.183385
6.66% away
Result
+1.96R
Take profit at 0.183385 · 2 Aug, 00:00 NY
Trace5 steps
Signal
candle close
0.172000
30 Jul, 08:00 NY
Filled
next open
0.171934
30 Jul, 12:00 NY
Stop
safety trendline
0.166209
30 Jul, 12:00 NY
TP1 · 2.00R
r multiple
0.183385
30 Jul, 12:00 NY
Exit · Take profit · 1.94R
0.183385
2 Aug, 00:00 NY
Monthly returns
Wins and losses
- Wins13
- Losses19
Your rules
Buys when
candle closes past a resistance trendline with 3+ taps at least 6 candles apart, spanning 126+ candles (tap tolerance 0.15%), one attempt per line
Stop
safety trendline through the last two confirmed pivot lows, measured 5 candles after the signal candle (fallback: lowest low of the 20 candles before the signal candle)
Target / exit
2R (R = entry-to-stop distance)
Risk per trade
1% of equity risked to the stop · 2 of 32 trades were size-capped at 1.0× equity
- After an exit
- The next entry signal is read from the candle after the exit, not on the exit candle
- Not modelled
- Margin calls, liquidation and CFD overnight financing; perpetual funding is charged when the data carries it
Latest trades
32 closed trades
| Date | Direction | Entry price | Exit price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2026 | long | 0.1719 | 0.1834 | Win |
| 1 Jun 2026 | long | 0.2369 | 0.2343 | Loss |
| 15 Apr 2026 | long | 0.2489 | 0.2676 | Win |
| 2 Mar 2025 | long | 0.8664 | 0.6959 | Loss |
| 2 May 2024 | long | 0.4532 | 0.4183 | Loss |
| 28 Sept 2023 | long | 0.2494 | 0.2631 | Win |
| 28 Aug 2023 | long | 0.2656 | 0.2575 | Loss |
| 8 Aug 2023 | long | 0.2936 | 0.2817 | Loss |
| 2 Jul 2023 | long | 0.2917 | 0.2798 | Loss |
| 27 May 2023 | long | 0.3668 | 0.3534 | Loss |
Monthly heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% |
| 2019 | — | — | — | — | 2.0% | — | -1.0% | — | — | -2.1% | — | — |
| 2020 | — | — | — | 2.0% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.0% | — | — |
| 2021 | — | — | — | — | — | — | open | 2.0% | — | -1.0% | — | -0.3% |
| 2022 | — | — | — | -1.0% | 2.0% | — | — | — | — | -1.1% | -2.0% | — |
| 2023 | 2.0% | open | 0.9% | — | -1.1% | -1.0% | -1.0% | -2.1% | open | 2.0% | — | — |
| 2024 | — | — | — | — | open | -1.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | — | — | -1.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | — | — | — | 2.0% | — | -1.1% | open | 1.9% | — | — | — | — |
Advanced Analysis