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BACKTEST EXISTING2018-09-022026-08-31 · 8.0 yearsTested windowADAUSDT (asked for "ADA") · 4h · history 2018-09-02 2026-08-31 (2920 days), identical for all timeframes · $10,000 account

Backtest the Tori Trades trendline strategy on ADAUSDT

Rules: Tori Trades Trendline Strategy · as published fxreplay.com·tradezella.com·cdn.prod.website-files.com

Win rate

NOT RECOMMENDED

43.3%

30 trades · 4H · 2920 days · Binance

Data through 2026-08-31 00:00 UTC

The best win rate found while searching variations on the training part of this history. It has not been checked on unseen data yet.

NOT RECOMMENDEDA fixed set of measured gates decides this. It is not an opinion and not advice.

Not recommended on this evidence

Tested an approximation of your rules — see 'What we actually tested'Part of your description could not be executed exactly, so the verdict is capped.Win rate 43.3% is below 51%Share of closed trades that ended in profit, against the minimum this app requires.

EvidenceMixed evidence

Sample ≥ 100 trades30 trades in 2920 days Unseen sample ≥ 30 trades5 trades Profit factor ≥ 1.31.42 Drawdown ≤ 25%5.9% Edge on unseen data > 00.160R Edge with doubled costs > 00.206R Rules tested exactlyapproximated

ReturnTotal simulated return

8.7%

Account change over the tested window

Profit factorProfit per loss

1.42

Gross profit ÷ gross loss (above 1 = profitable)

Max drawdownDeepest closed-trade fall

-5.9%

Worst fall from a previous account peak

ReliabilityConfidence in test

62/100

How much this test can be trusted

Unseen-data edgeUnseen-data edge

n/a

Average result per trade on data never optimised on

Asked for "ADA" · tested ADAUSDT

What we actually tested

  • · 4H candle closes above a descending resistance trendline with 3+ taps, 6+ candles apart, spanning more than 3 weeks
  • · Entry at the next candle open after that close
  • · Stop on the safety trendline through the last two pivot lows, 4 candles after the fill
  • · Take profit at 2R
  • · One attempt per trendline

This strategy can be improved.

Best variant found so far: 63.0% win rate (target 0.75R)

In-sample search, not yet validated on unseen data

Buys whenThe exact entry conditions that were executed for long trades.

candle closes past a resistance trendline with 3+ taps at least 6 candles apart, spanning 126+ candles (tap tolerance 0.15%), one attempt per line

StopPosition sizing and stop rules exactly as executed. Nothing was added.

safety trendline through the last two confirmed pivot lows, measured 4 candles after the fill (fallback: lowest low of the last 20 candles)

Target / exitTarget, trailing and time exits exactly as executed.

2R (R = entry-to-stop distance)

Risk per tradePosition sizing and stop rules exactly as executed. Nothing was added.

1% of equity risked to the stop

One real trade, most recent

One real trade from the tested ledger, drawn on the same candles the engine used.
FROM TESTED HISTORY

ADAUSDT · 4h · actual exchange candles executed by the engine

LONGWIN · 1.96RTarget hit (TP)
Bought at 0.171934 on 2026-07-30 16:00, stop at 0.166209, target at 0.183385. Closed at 0.183348 on 2026-08-02 04:00Target hit (TP). Result: WIN (1.96R)
  • Up candle
  • Down candle
  • Entry price
  • Stop
  • Target
  • Exit price

Entry

0.171934 · 2026-07-30 16:00

Initial stop

0.166209

Target

0.183385

Exit

0.183348 · 2026-08-02 04:00

Each candle is one 4H bar: the thin line is the high-low range, the thick body is open-to-close. Vertical marks show when the trade opened and closed. One real trade, picked by recency — an illustration of the executed rules, not proof they will work again.

How $10,000 would have changed

The account balance after each closed trade, starting from the stated budget.

Account value after every trade closed, in dollars

  • Account value

Left axis is dollars, bottom axis is time. The line only moves when a trade closes, so flat stretches are periods the rules stayed out of the market.

Simulation on historical candles, not live trading. Full methodology in Pro depth.

This is the free view of a shared report. Run your own strategy on the same engine.

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