Backtest the Tori Trades trendline strategy on SOLUSDT
On the 4-hour chart of Solana it buys when candle closes past a resistance trendline with 3+ taps at least 6 candles apart, spanning 126+ candles (tap tolerance 0.15%), one attempt per line. Stop at the safety trendline, target 2× risk, 1% of the account per trade.
5 notes about this test
- Her shorts (a rising support trendline broken downward) cannot be executed on Spot, so only the long side is tested.
- Her instruments are XPTUSD, WTI, XAUUSD and US30 on 4H; this test runs on the crypto pair you named, which behaves differently.
- "Nearest horizontal support/resistance giving 2R or more" is approximated as a fixed 2R target.
- The safety trendline is the line through the last two confirmed pivot lows; when those lows are not rising, the lowest low of the last 20 candles is used instead.
- Trendline drawing is mechanical (confirmed 3-bar pivots, tap tolerance 0.15%), not hand-drawn, so individual lines can differ from hers.
Market
Timeframe
Account
History
7 fixes since this report
- This report was produced before open positions were separated from closed trades; its stored win count includes a position still open at the end of the data (+1.0% of equity, marked at the last close). This page now shows the corrected reading; the stored original is unchanged. Re-run to get a report produced with the fix.
- This report was produced before R was measured in stop distances; 2 of the 15 stored trades were size-capped, so the R figures first shown for them (average trade, winners, losers) were % of equity per 1% risk, not stop distances. This page now shows the corrected reading; the stored original is unchanged. Re-run to get a report produced with the fix.
- This report was produced before limit fills stopped taking slippage in their price, and a re-picked target waits for the script; defect "target filled beyond its limit": its target fills were shown 0.02% short of the target (the P&L effect is commission × slippage, below 0.001% per trade). Re-run to get corrected results.
- This report was produced before warm-up at a feed's history limit was counted in valid candles; 405 candles of its tested window were spent warming the indicators up, because the feed's history ended before a full warm-up. Re-run to get corrected results.
- This report was produced before win rate and trade counts cover closed trades only; its stored figures counted a position still open at the end of the data as closed (8 wins of 15, 53.3%); over closed trades it is 7 wins of 14, 50.0%. This page now shows the corrected reading; the stored original is unchanged. Re-run to get a report produced with the fix.
- This report was produced before an entry whose fill gapped past its stop was dropped; a trade whose fill gapped past its stop may be missing from this report; a re-run includes it (usually a small loss at the open). Re-run to get corrected results.
- This report was produced before an entry that filled exactly on its stop was dropped; a trade whose fill opened exactly on its stop may be missing from this report; a re-run includes it (about zero before costs). Re-run to get corrected results.
50.0%win rate · 14 trades, too few to judge
RECOMMENDEDWeak evidence- Trades
- 14
- Timeframe
- 4H
- Tested over
- 2230 days
- Time in market
- 3.5%
high win rate · 15 trades, limited sample
- Verdict rules v1
What to watch
- 2 of 15 trades were size-capped at 1× equity
What the data supports
Months in profit
50% of months closed up
6 of 12 months in the tested window
Best month
+2.3%
2023-09 · 3 of 14 trades · best of 12 months
Made money after costs
profit factor 2.00
all 14 trades
Net return
+6.8%
all 14 trades
Trust scoreThe fixed factors behind the trust score, each with its own measurement.
C
Grade
RECOMMENDED
Verdict
Net return · closed trades
6.8%
-3750.4 pts vs buy & holdClosed trades +6.8% · open position +1.1% unrealized · +7.8% with it marked
Win rate
50.0%
14 trades
Profit factor
2.00
7 wins · 7 losses
Max drawdown
-2.3%
from peak
Strategy replay
Entry
75.5851
Buy · 16 Aug, 12:00 NY · 2 bars
Stop loss
74.6900
1.18% away
Take profit
77.3753
2.37% away
Result
-1.10R
Stop loss at 74.6751 · 16 Aug, 16:00 NY
Monthly returns
Best month
2.3%
Worst month
-1.1%
Typical month
0.87%
Months in profit
50%
Account curve
$10,000
Starting balance
$10,675
Final · closed trades
$10,782
With the open position marked
$385,710
Buy & hold
Wins and losses
- Wins7
- Losses7
Rules
Buys when
candle closes past a resistance trendline with 3+ taps at least 6 candles apart, spanning 126+ candles (tap tolerance 0.15%), one attempt per line
Stop
safety trendline through the last two confirmed pivot lows, measured 5 candles after the signal candle (fallback: lowest low of the 20 candles before the signal candle)
Target / exit
2R (R = entry-to-stop distance)
Risk per trade
1% of equity risked to the stop · 2 of 15 trades were size-capped at 1× equity
Monthly heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | — | -1.0% | 2.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | -1.1% | -1.0% | — |
| 2023 | — | — | open | 2.0% | — | open | 2.0% | — | 2.3% | 2.0% | — | — |
| 2025 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | open |
| 2026 | 2.0% | — | -1.0% | -0.2% | — | — | — | -1.1% | open | — | — | — |
Latest trades
14 closed · 1 open at the end of the data, marked at the last close
| Date | Direction | Entry price | Exit price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sept 2026 | long | 104.6209 | 112.6975 | Open |
| 16 Aug 2026 | long | 75.5851 | 74.6751 | Loss |
| 11 Apr 2026 | long | 86.0272 | 85.9128 | Loss |
| 24 Mar 2026 | long | 91.7283 | 85.0930 | Loss |
| 21 Dec 2025 | long | 126.0552 | 144.3767 | Win |
| 15 Oct 2023 | long | 21.9344 | 23.9384 | Win |
| 28 Sept 2023 | long | 19.6039 | 21.3475 | Win |
| 13 Sept 2023 | long | 18.3637 | 18.6273 | Win |
| 7 Sept 2023 | long | 19.9240 | 19.0262 | Loss |
| 29 Jun 2023 | long | 18.0636 | 22.9862 | Win |
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