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Free viewBacktest the Tori Trades trendline strategy on SOLUSDT
On the 4-hour chart of Solana it buys when candle closes past a resistance trendline with 3+ taps at least 6 candles apart, spanning 126+ candles (tap tolerance 0.15%), one attempt per line. Stop at the safety trendline, target 2× risk, 1% of the account per trade.
6 notes about this test
- Her shorts (a rising support trendline broken downward) cannot be executed on Spot, so only the long side is tested.
- Her instruments are XPTUSD, WTI, XAUUSD and US30 on 4H; this test runs on the crypto pair you named, which behaves differently.
- "Nearest horizontal support/resistance giving 2R or more" is approximated as a fixed 2R target.
- The safety trendline is the line through the last two confirmed pivot lows; when those lows are not rising, the lowest low of the last 20 candles is used instead.
- Trendline drawing is mechanical (confirmed 3-bar pivots, tap tolerance 0.15%), not hand-drawn, so individual lines can differ from hers.
- 15 trades: the most these rules produce in 6 years of 4h candles, short of the 100 a confident read wants.
Same rules on 6 markets121 trades · 44.6% win · +0.34R avg
| Market | Trades | Win | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| SOLUSDT | 15 | 53.3% | +0.58R |
| BTCUSDT | 16 | 37.5% | +0.12R |
| ETHUSDT | 15 | 40.0% | +0.22R |
| BNBUSDT | 15 | 33.3% | +0.03R |
| XRPUSDT | 33 | 57.6% | +0.72R |
| ADAUSDT | 27 | 37.0% | +0.10R |
| All · 4h | 121 | 44.6% | +0.34R |
Market
Timeframe
Account
History
Requested 2018-10-18 → 2026-10-18 · traded from 2020-10-17 (warm-up 405 bars)
- This report was produced before R was measured in stop distances; 2 of the 15 stored trades were size-capped, so the R figures first shown for them (average trade, winners, losers) were % of equity per 1% risk, not stop distances. This page now shows the corrected reading; the stored original is unchanged. Re-run to get a report produced with the fix.
Verdict
PROMISINGwin rate · 15 trades, too few to judge
- Ended above the starting budget+8.9% · 0.490R
- Win rate 50% or above53.3%
- More than 50 trades15 trades
- Verdict rules v9
- Trades
- 15
- Timeframe
- 4H
- Tested over
- 2191 days
- Time in market
- 3.7%
high win rate · 15 trades, limited sample
What to watch
- 2 of 15 trades were size-capped at 1.0× equity
- Could not be checked with doubled costs
- Too few trades to judge: 15 of the 40 this timeframe needs
- Could not be checked on unseen data (not run)
What the data supports
Months in profit
54% of months closed up
7 of 13 months in the tested window
Best month
+2.3%
2023-09 · 3 of 15 trades · best of 13 months
Made money after costs
profit factor 2.32
all 15 trades
Net return
+8.9%
all 15 trades
Proof
TradingView twin
BINANCE:SOLUSDT4HSlippageTrendlineGapped stop
- Slippage TradingView charges slippage as commission, so stop and market fills differ slightly.
- Trendline The script draws a simpler line, through the last two swing points.
- Gapped stop When price gaps past the stop, the backtest skips the trade; the script enters and is stopped out.
Account balance
$10,000
Starting balance
$474,960
Buy & hold
- Balance
- Buy & hold
Trust scoreThe fixed factors behind the trust score, each with its own measurement.
C
Grade
PROMISING
Verdict
Strategy replay
- Pattern
- Stop
- TP1
Entry
104.62
Buy · 18 Sept, 00:00 NY · 44 bars
Stop loss
96.6750
7.59% away
Take profit
120.51
15.19% away
Result
+1.98R
Take profit at 120.51 · 25 Sept, 04:00 NY
Trace5 steps
Signal
candle close
104.59
17 Sept, 20:00 NY
Filled
next open
104.62
18 Sept, 00:00 NY
Stop
safety trendline
96.6750
18 Sept, 00:00 NY
TP1 · 2.00R
r multiple
120.51
18 Sept, 00:00 NY
Exit · Take profit · 1.99R
120.51
25 Sept, 04:00 NY
Monthly returns
Wins and losses
- Wins8
- Losses7
Your rules
Buys when
candle closes past a resistance trendline with 3+ taps at least 6 candles apart, spanning 126+ candles (tap tolerance 0.15%), one attempt per line
Stop
safety trendline through the last two confirmed pivot lows, measured 5 candles after the signal candle (fallback: lowest low of the 20 candles before the signal candle)
Target / exit
2R (R = entry-to-stop distance)
Risk per trade
1% of equity risked to the stop · 2 of 15 trades were size-capped at 1.0× equity
- After an exit
- The next entry signal is read from the candle after the exit, not on the exit candle
- Not modelled
- Margin calls, liquidation and CFD overnight financing; perpetual funding is charged when the data carries it
Latest trades
15 closed trades
| Date | Direction | Entry price | Exit price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sept 2026 | long | 104.6209 | 120.5128 | Win |
| 16 Aug 2026 | long | 75.5851 | 74.6751 | Loss |
| 11 Apr 2026 | long | 86.0272 | 85.9128 | Loss |
| 24 Mar 2026 | long | 91.7283 | 85.0930 | Loss |
| 21 Dec 2025 | long | 126.0552 | 144.4056 | Win |
| 15 Oct 2023 | long | 21.9344 | 23.9432 | Win |
| 28 Sept 2023 | long | 19.6039 | 21.3518 | Win |
| 13 Sept 2023 | long | 18.3637 | 18.6310 | Win |
| 7 Sept 2023 | long | 19.9240 | 19.0262 | Loss |
| 29 Jun 2023 | long | 18.0636 | 22.9908 | Win |
Monthly heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | — | -1.0% | 2.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | -1.1% | -1.0% | — |
| 2023 | — | — | open | 2.0% | — | open | 2.0% | — | 2.3% | 2.0% | — | — |
| 2025 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | open |
| 2026 | 2.0% | — | -1.0% | -0.2% | — | — | — | -1.1% | 2.0% | — | — | — |
Advanced Analysis