Backtest the Tori Trades trendline strategy on BNBUSDT
On the 4-hour chart of BNB it buys when candle closes past a resistance trendline with 3+ taps at least 6 candles apart, spanning 126+ candles (tap tolerance 0.15%), one attempt per line. Stop at the safety trendline, target 2× risk, 1% of the account per trade.
5 notes about this test
- Her shorts (a rising support trendline broken downward) cannot be executed on Spot, so only the long side is tested.
- Her instruments are XPTUSD, WTI, XAUUSD and US30 on 4H; this test runs on the crypto pair you named, which behaves differently.
- "Nearest horizontal support/resistance giving 2R or more" is approximated as a fixed 2R target.
- The safety trendline is the line through the last two confirmed pivot lows; when those lows are not rising, the lowest low of the last 20 candles is used instead.
- Trendline drawing is mechanical (confirmed 3-bar pivots, tap tolerance 0.15%), not hand-drawn, so individual lines can differ from hers.
Market
Timeframe
Account
History
4 fixes since this report
- This report was produced before R was measured in stop distances; 2 of the 15 stored trades were size-capped, so the R figures first shown for them (average trade, winners, losers) were % of equity per 1% risk, not stop distances. This page now shows the corrected reading; the stored original is unchanged. Re-run to get a report produced with the fix.
- This report was produced before limit fills stopped taking slippage in their price, and a re-picked target waits for the script; defect "target filled beyond its limit": its target fills were shown 0.02% short of the target (the P&L effect is commission × slippage, below 0.001% per trade). Re-run to get corrected results.
- This report was produced before an entry whose fill gapped past its stop was dropped; a trade whose fill gapped past its stop may be missing from this report; a re-run includes it (usually a small loss at the open). Re-run to get corrected results.
- This report was produced before an entry that filled exactly on its stop was dropped; a trade whose fill opened exactly on its stop may be missing from this report; a re-run includes it (about zero before costs). Re-run to get corrected results.
33.3%win rate · 15 trades, too few to judge
RECOMMENDEDWeak evidence- Trades
- 15
- Timeframe
- 4H
- Tested over
- 2920 days
- Time in market
- 3.6%
steady edge · 15 trades, limited sample
- Verdict rules v1
What to watch
- 2 of 15 trades were size-capped at 1× equity
- Thin margin · profit factor 1.02, under the 1.1 we look for
What the data supports
Best month
+2.0%
2022-03 · 1 of 15 trades · best of 14 months
Made money after costs
profit factor 1.02
all 15 trades
Net return
+0.2%
all 15 trades
Drawdown stayed shallow
-5.0% deepest fall from peak
all 15 trades
Trust scoreThe fixed factors behind the trust score, each with its own measurement.
C
Grade
RECOMMENDED
Verdict
Net return
0.2%
-7476.1 pts vs buy & hold
Win rate
33.3%
15 trades
Profit factor
1.02
5 wins · 10 losses
Max drawdown
-5.0%
from peak
Strategy replay
Entry
567.50
Buy · 25 Jul, 12:00 NY · 29 bars
Stop loss
556.00
2.03% away
Take profit
590.51
4.05% away
Result
+1.94R
Take profit at 590.39 · 30 Jul, 04:00 NY
Monthly returns
Best month
2.0%
Worst month
-1.2%
Typical month
-1.02%
Months in profit
36%
Account curve
$10,000
Starting balance
$10,022
Final balance
$757,628
Buy & hold
Wins and losses
- Wins5
- Losses10
Rules
Buys when
candle closes past a resistance trendline with 3+ taps at least 6 candles apart, spanning 126+ candles (tap tolerance 0.15%), one attempt per line
Stop
safety trendline through the last two confirmed pivot lows, measured 5 candles after the signal candle (fallback: lowest low of the 20 candles before the signal candle)
Target / exit
2R (R = entry-to-stop distance)
Risk per trade
1% of equity risked to the stop · 2 of 15 trades were size-capped at 1× equity
Monthly heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.9% | — | — |
| 2019 | — | — | — | — | -1.0% | — | — | — | — | -1.0% | -1.0% | — |
| 2020 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | open | -1.0% | — |
| 2021 | — | — | — | — | — | — | -1.0% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | — | — | 2.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 1.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | — | — | — | -1.0% | — | — | -1.0% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | — | — | -1.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | open |
| 2026 | 2.0% | — | — | — | -1.2% | — | 1.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
Latest trades
15 closed trades
| Date | Direction | Entry price | Exit price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2026 | long | 567.5035 | 590.3923 | Win |
| 3 May 2026 | long | 619.9940 | 616.4524 | Loss |
| 2 May 2026 | long | 618.9638 | 616.3821 | Loss |
| 21 Dec 2025 | long | 856.9514 | 933.8873 | Win |
| 24 Mar 2025 | long | 636.3773 | 617.8764 | Loss |
| 19 Jul 2024 | long | 591.7183 | 554.2891 | Loss |
| 10 Apr 2024 | long | 606.0212 | 578.2343 | Loss |
| 3 Jan 2023 | long | 246.2492 | 257.2963 | Win |
| 16 Mar 2022 | long | 383.3767 | 417.8464 | Win |
| 3 Jul 2021 | long | 299.3599 | 276.3447 | Loss |
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