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Free viewBacktest the Tori Trades trendline strategy on BNBUSDT
On the 4-hour chart of BNB it buys when candle closes past a resistance trendline with 3+ taps at least 6 candles apart, spanning 126+ candles (tap tolerance 0.15%), one attempt per line. Stop at the safety trendline, target 2× risk, 1% of the account per trade.
6 notes about this test
- Her shorts (a rising support trendline broken downward) cannot be executed on Spot, so only the long side is tested.
- Her instruments are XPTUSD, WTI, XAUUSD and US30 on 4H; this test runs on the crypto pair you named, which behaves differently.
- "Nearest horizontal support/resistance giving 2R or more" is approximated as a fixed 2R target.
- The safety trendline is the line through the last two confirmed pivot lows; when those lows are not rising, the lowest low of the last 20 candles is used instead.
- Trendline drawing is mechanical (confirmed 3-bar pivots, tap tolerance 0.15%), not hand-drawn, so individual lines can differ from hers.
- 17 trades: the most these rules produce in 8.8 years of 4h candles, short of the 100 a confident read wants.
Same rules on 6 markets123 trades · 44.7% win · +0.34R avg
| Market | Trades | Win | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| BNBUSDT | 17 | 35.3% | +0.08R |
| BTCUSDT | 16 | 37.5% | +0.12R |
| ETHUSDT | 15 | 40.0% | +0.22R |
| SOLUSDT | 15 | 53.3% | +0.58R |
| XRPUSDT | 33 | 57.6% | +0.72R |
| ADAUSDT | 27 | 37.0% | +0.10R |
| All · 4h | 123 | 44.7% | +0.34R |
Market
Timeframe
Account
History
Requested 1996-10-17 → 2026-10-18 · traded from 2018-01-12 (warm-up 405 bars)
- This report was produced before R was measured in stop distances; 2 of the 17 stored trades were size-capped, so the R figures first shown for them (average trade, winners, losers) were % of equity per 1% risk, not stop distances. This page now shows the corrected reading; the stored original is unchanged. Re-run to get a report produced with the fix.
Verdict
INCONCLUSIVEwin rate · 17 trades, too few to judge
- Ended above the starting budget+1.2% · 0.004R
- Win rate 50% or above35.3%
- More than 50 trades17 trades
- Under 10% of trades on missing bars17 of 17 trades
- Verdict rules v9
- Trades
- 17
- Timeframe
- 4H
- Tested over
- 3201 days
- Time in market
- 3.5%
17 of 17 trades depend on missing bars
What to watch
- 2 of 17 trades were size-capped at 1.0× equity
- Could not be checked with doubled costs
- Too few trades to judge: 17 of the 40 this timeframe needs
- Could not be checked on unseen data (not run)
What the data supports
Best month
+2.0%
2022-03 · 1 of 17 trades · best of 16 months
Made money after costs
profit factor 1.11
all 17 trades
Net return
+1.2%
all 17 trades
Average trade
+0.004R
all 17 trades
Proof
TradingView twin
BINANCE:BNBUSDT4HSlippageTrendlineGapped stop
- Slippage TradingView charges slippage as commission, so stop and market fills differ slightly.
- Trendline The script draws a simpler line, through the last two swing points.
- Gapped stop When price gaps past the stop, the backtest skips the trade; the script enters and is stopped out.
Account balance
$10,000
Starting balance
$337,273
Buy & hold
- Balance
- Buy & hold
Trust scoreThe fixed factors behind the trust score, each with its own measurement.
—
Grade
INCONCLUSIVE
Verdict
Strategy replay
- Pattern
- Stop
- TP1
Entry
567.50
Buy · 25 Jul, 12:00 NY · 29 bars
Stop loss
556.00
2.03% away
Take profit
590.51
4.05% away
Result
+1.94R
Take profit at 590.51 · 30 Jul, 04:00 NY
Trace5 steps
Signal
candle close
567.38
25 Jul, 08:00 NY
Filled
next open
567.50
25 Jul, 12:00 NY
Stop
safety trendline
556.00
25 Jul, 12:00 NY
TP1 · 2.00R
r multiple
590.51
25 Jul, 12:00 NY
Exit · Take profit · 1.96R
590.51
30 Jul, 04:00 NY
Monthly returns
Wins and losses
- Wins6
- Losses11
Your rules
Buys when
candle closes past a resistance trendline with 3+ taps at least 6 candles apart, spanning 126+ candles (tap tolerance 0.15%), one attempt per line
Stop
safety trendline through the last two confirmed pivot lows, measured 5 candles after the signal candle (fallback: lowest low of the 20 candles before the signal candle)
Target / exit
2R (R = entry-to-stop distance)
Risk per trade
1% of equity risked to the stop · 2 of 17 trades were size-capped at 1.0× equity
- After an exit
- The next entry signal is read from the candle after the exit, not on the exit candle
- Not modelled
- Margin calls, liquidation and CFD overnight financing; perpetual funding is charged when the data carries it
Latest trades
17 closed trades
| Date | Direction | Entry price | Exit price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2026 | long | 567.5035 | 590.5104 | Win |
| 3 May 2026 | long | 619.9940 | 616.4524 | Loss |
| 2 May 2026 | long | 618.9638 | 616.3821 | Loss |
| 21 Dec 2025 | long | 856.9514 | 934.0741 | Win |
| 24 Mar 2025 | long | 636.3773 | 617.8764 | Loss |
| 19 Jul 2024 | long | 591.7183 | 554.2891 | Loss |
| 10 Apr 2024 | long | 606.0212 | 578.2343 | Loss |
| 3 Jan 2023 | long | 246.2492 | 257.3477 | Win |
| 16 Mar 2022 | long | 383.3767 | 417.9300 | Win |
| 3 Jul 2021 | long | 299.3599 | 276.3447 | Loss |
Monthly heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | — | — | 2.0% | — | — | — | — | open | -1.0% | 2.0% | — | — |
| 2019 | — | — | — | — | -1.0% | — | — | — | — | -1.0% | -1.0% | — |
| 2020 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | open | -1.0% | — |
| 2021 | — | — | — | — | — | — | -1.0% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | — | — | 2.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 1.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | — | — | — | -1.0% | — | — | -1.0% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | — | — | -1.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | open |
| 2026 | 2.0% | — | — | — | -1.2% | — | 2.0% | — | — | — | — | — |
Advanced Analysis