Backtest

Backtest the Tori Trades trendline strategy on BNBUSDT

On the 4-hour chart of BNBUSDT, it buys when candle closes past a resistance trendline with 3+ taps at least 6 candles apart, spanning 126+ candles (tap tolerance 0.15%), one attempt per line. It gets out on its stop rule, and takes profit at 2× what it risked. Each trade risks 1% of the account.

Market

BNBUSDT

Timeframe

4h

Account

$10,000

History

8.0 years
21 Sept 201819 Sept 2026
RulesTori Trades Trendline StrategyAs publishedfxreplay.comtradezella.comcdn.prod.website-files.com

33.3%win rate · 15 trades, too few to judge

RECOMMENDEDWeak evidence
Trades
15
Timeframe
4H
Tested over
2920 days
Time in market
3.6%

steady edge · 15 trades, limited sample

What to watch

  • Thin margin · profit factor 1.02, under the 1.1 we look for

What the data supports

  • Best month

    +2.0%

    2022-03 · 1 of 15 trades · best of 14 months

  • Made money after costs

    profit factor 1.02

    all 15 trades

  • Net return

    +0.2%

    all 15 trades

  • Average trade

    +0.024R

    all 15 trades

Trust scoreThe fixed factors behind the trust score, each with its own measurement.

46Weak evidence

C

Grade

RECOMMENDED

Verdict

Net return

0.2%

-7476.1 pts vs buy & hold

Win rate

33.3%

15 trades

Profit factor

1.02

5 wins · 10 losses

Max drawdown

-5.0%

from peak

Strategy replay

BNBUSDT · 4hTrade 5 / 5

Entry

567.50

Buy · 25 Jul, 16:00 · 29 bars

Stop loss

556.00

2.03% away

Take profit

590.51

4.05% away

Result

+1.94R

Take profit at 590.39

Monthly returns

Best month

2.0%

Worst month

-1.2%

Typical month

-1.02%

Months in profit

36%

Account curve

$10,000

Starting balance

$10,022

Final balance

$757,628

Buy & hold

Wins and losses

33%win rate
  • Wins5
  • Losses10

Rules

  • Buys when

    candle closes past a resistance trendline with 3+ taps at least 6 candles apart, spanning 126+ candles (tap tolerance 0.15%), one attempt per line

  • Stop

    safety trendline through the last two confirmed pivot lows, measured 4 candles after the fill (fallback: lowest low of the last 20 candles)

  • Target / exit

    2R (R = entry-to-stop distance)

  • Risk per trade

    1% of equity risked to the stop

Monthly heatmap

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
20181.9%
2019-1.0%-1.0%-1.0%
2020-1.0%
2021-1.0%
20222.0%
20231.9%
2024-1.0%-1.0%
2025-1.0%
20262.0%-1.2%1.9%

Latest trades

15 closed trades

DateDirectionEntry priceExit priceResult
25 Jul 2026long567.5035590.3923Win
3 May 2026long619.9940616.4524Loss
2 May 2026long618.9638616.3821Loss
21 Dec 2025long856.9514933.8873Win
24 Mar 2025long636.3773617.8764Loss
19 Jul 2024long591.7183554.2891Loss
10 Apr 2024long606.0212578.2343Loss
3 Jan 2023long246.2492257.2963Win
16 Mar 2022long383.3767417.8464Win
3 Jul 2021long299.3599276.3447Loss

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