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Linda Bradford Raschke & Laurence ConnorsLinda Bradford Raschke & Laurence ConnorsNot recommended 1H · 4H · 1DChannel

Holy Grail (ADX + 20 EMA pullback)

36.4%Win rate
44Trades
0.96Profit factor
-1.0%Return · hold +45092.6%
7.6%Drawdown

Account curve

BNBUSDT · 1H · 8.9 years
-1.0%44 trades · trailed holding by 45093.6 pts
StrategyBuy & hold

Verdict

36.4%win rate
Not recommended
Win rate 50% or above (not passed)36.4%
Ended in profit (not passed)-1.0%
More than 50 trades (not passed)44

Wins and losses

16of 44 won
Wins 16Losses 28
Drawdown8%
Hold drawdown71%
Time in market3%

Rules

Timeframe1H · 4H · 1D
1H · 4H · 1D
Setup / filterADX(14) > 30 AND ADX(14) is higher than one candle ago AND +DI above −DI (14)
ADX(14) > 30 AND ADX(14) is higher than one candle ago AND +DI above −DI (14)
Entrycandle low touches or crosses below EMA(20) → buy stop at the signal candle's high, valid 3 candles (filled at the level, or at the open on a gap)
candle low touches or crosses below EMA(20) → buy stop at the signal candle's high, valid 3 candles (filled at the level, or at the open on a gap)
Stoplowest low of the 5 completed candles before the signal candle
lowest low of the 5 completed candles before the signal candle
Target / exitTarget: 2R (R = entry-to-stop distance)
Target: 2R (R = entry-to-stop distance)
Risk1% of equity risked to the stop
1% of equity risked to the stop

Differences from the video

5
Shown on every result

Short trades (a pullback to the 20 EMA in a downtrend) cannot be executed on Spot, so only the long side is tested.

"First" pullback is mechanical here: any candle whose low touches or crosses the 20 EMA while ADX(14) > 30 and rising qualifies, so more setups are taken than a discretionary trader would take.

"Previous swing high" as the target is approximated by a fixed 2R target, because the published rule depends on the trader's own reading of the chart.

The buy stop is valid for 3 candles; the published rule says "a few bars".

The setup was published for stocks and futures; this test runs on the crypto pair you named.

Rules executed4
Published sources2

Sources

tradingsetupsreview.comswingfolio.com

Every backtest of these rules