Richard Dennis / Original Turtles (Free Rules Project)
Turtle Trading. System 1 (long side)
Win rate
38.6%
Trades
44
Profit factor
4.30
profit > loss
Return
+119.8%
under hold +7164.4%
Drawdown
4.3%
Account curve
BNBUSDT · 1D2018-09-21 → 2026-09-19 · 8.0 years
Wins and losses
- Wins17
- Losses27
How it trades
- 1
Timeframe
1D
- 2
Setup / filter
no separate filter, the entry rule is the whole setup
- 3
Entry
close breaks above the 20-candle range → market at the next candle open
- 4
Stop
2 × ATR(20) from entry
- 5
Target / exit
Target: no fixed target · Rule exit: a close below the 10-candle low closes the trade at the next open
- 6
Risk
1% of equity risked to the stop
Evidence
What this test cannot reproduce
The Turtles traded futures both ways; a short breakout cannot be executed on Spot, so only the long side is tested.
The published system adds up to 4 units at 1/2 N intervals and reduces size in correlated markets; this test trades a single unit, so returns are smaller and smoother than the original.
Turtles risked 1% of equity per N of volatility; this test uses the app's fixed 1% risk-per-trade sizing, which is the same idea expressed through the stop distance.
The original System 1 skips a breakout when the previous breakout would have been a winner; that filter needs trade history at signal time and is NOT applied.
They traded liquid futures (bonds, metals, currencies); this test runs on the crypto pair you named.
Every backtest of these rules
- BNBUSDT1D8.0 yearsRECOMMENDED31 Aug 2026
Trades
44
Win rate
38.6%
Profit factor
4.30
Max drawdown
4.3%
Return
+119.8%under hold +7164.4% - ETHUSDT1D8.0 yearsRECOMMENDED31 Aug 2026
Trades
44
Win rate
47.7%
Profit factor
3.07
Max drawdown
4.6%
Return
+58.7%under hold +954.4% - BTCUSDT1D8.0 yearsRECOMMENDED31 Aug 2026
Trades
40
Win rate
45.0%
Profit factor
4.86
Max drawdown
5.8%
Return
+134.0%under hold +1096.7%