Michael J. Huddleston (Inner Circle Trader)
ICT Silver Bullet (New York windows 03–04 · 10–11 · 14–15)
Win rate
28.0%
Trades
125
Profit factor
0.47
loss > profit
Return
-18.6%
under hold -15.3%
Drawdown
18.6%
Account curve
BTCUSDT · 5M2025-01-02 → 2026-09-19 · 1.7 year
Wins and losses
- Wins35
- Losses90
How it trades
- 1
Timeframe
5M
- 2
Setup / filter
no separate filter, the entry rule is the whole setup
- 3
Entry
inside 03:00-04:00 / 10:00-11:00 / 14:00-15:00 America/New_York time, price first sweeps the 20-candle low and closes back above it, then a LATER candle in the same window completes a bullish fair value gap → limit at the 50% level of the sequence's fair value gap, valid until the session window closes (filled at the level, or at the open on a gap)
- 4
Stop
the low of the sweep candle that armed the sequence
- 5
Target / exit
Target: 2R (R = entry-to-stop distance)
- 6
Risk
1% of equity risked to the stop
Evidence
What this test cannot reproduce
Shorts (a sweep of a recent high inside the window) cannot be executed on Spot, so only the long side is tested.
"Next liquidity pool above" is approximated by a fixed 2R target, because the published rule depends on the trader's own draw on liquidity.
"Short-term liquidity" is mechanical here: the lowest low of the previous 20 five-minute candles.
Displacement is not measured as a size threshold; the completed three-candle fair value gap with a bullish middle candle is used as the evidence of it.
The published model names 10:00–11:00 New York as the primary window; all three published windows are tested, and the sequence state is dropped when the window closes.
The model was published for indices and futures traded around the New York session; this test runs on the crypto pair you named, which trades 24/7.