TJR Trades

TJR Trades

Sweep → market-structure shift → fair value gap

NOT RECOMMENDED 5M Channel

Win rate

34.3%

Trades

140

Profit factor

0.63

loss > profit

Return

-17.0%

under hold -15.3%

Drawdown

18.7%

Account curve

BTCUSDT · 5M2025-01-022026-09-19 · 1.7 year

StrategyBuy & hold

Wins and losses

34%win rate
  • Wins48
  • Losses92
Drawdown19%
Hold drawdown52%
Time in market4%

How it trades

  1. 1

    Timeframe

    5M

  2. 2

    Setup / filter

    no separate filter, the entry rule is the whole setup

  3. 3

    Entry

    inside 08:30-11:00 America/New_York time, price first sweeps the 20-candle low and closes back above it, then a candle closes above the highest high of the last 10 candles (market-structure shift), then a LATER candle in the same window completes a bullish fair value gap → limit at the 50% level of the sequence's fair value gap, valid until the session window closes (filled at the level, or at the open on a gap)

  4. 4

    Stop

    the low of the sweep candle that armed the sequence

  5. 5

    Target / exit

    Target: 2R (R = entry-to-stop distance)

  6. 6

    Risk

    1% of equity risked to the stop

Evidence

4
Rules executed
2
Published sources
4
Known limits

What this test cannot reproduce

The rules are taught in videos, not in a page that states them as numbers; the lookbacks above (20-candle sweep, 10-candle structure shift) are stated explicitly here and executed as written, and a secondary write-up is cited alongside the channel.

"Previous day's low" as the swept level is approximated by the lowest low of the previous 20 five-minute candles.

Long side only: the mirror short sequence cannot be executed on Spot.

"Next liquidity level" is approximated by a fixed 2R target, because the published rule is a judgement call on the chart.