Win rate
38.3%
Trades
107
Profit factor
3.39
profit > loss
Return
+59.1%
under hold +1096.7%
Drawdown
5.5%
Account curve
BTCUSDT · 1D2018-09-21 → 2026-09-19 · 8.0 years
Wins and losses
- Wins41
- Losses66
How it trades
- 1
Timeframe
4H · 1D
- 2
Setup / filter
close > SMA(200) AND the candle low touches or crosses below SMA(50)
- 3
Entry
the signal candle is a bullish reversal candle (bullish engulfing, or a hammer with a lower wick at least twice its body and the close in the top third) → market at the next candle open
- 4
Stop
lowest low of the 5 completed candles before the signal candle minus 1 × ATR(14)
- 5
Target / exit
Target: no fixed target · Rule exit: a close below SMA(50) closes the trade at the next open
- 6
Risk
1% of equity risked to the stop
Evidence
What this test cannot reproduce
Long side only: the mirror short setup cannot be executed on Spot.
He also teaches taking profit at a previous swing high or trailing the move; that judgement call is NOT applied, the published moving-average exit is used instead.
"Swing low" is mechanical here: the lowest low of the last 5 candles, with the stop 1 ATR(14) below it.
Published for forex, stocks and indices; this test runs on the crypto pair you named.