Shared report
Free viewBacktest the Double 7s strategy on BTCUSDT
On the daily chart of Bitcoin it buys when close > SMA(200) and the close is the lowest close of the last 7 candles. No stop loss, a close that is the highest close of the last 7 candles closes the trade at the next open.
4 notes about this test
- Long side only: the mirror short rules cannot be executed on Spot.
- No stop loss is published, so R-based statistics are undefined and sizing is a fixed notional.
- Published for ETFs; this test runs on the crypto pair you named.
- 80 trades: the most these rules produce in 7.5 years of 1d candles, short of the 100 a confident read wants.
Same rules on 2 markets147 trades · 68.7% win · — avg
| Market | Trades | Win | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTCUSDT | 80 | 71.3% | — |
| ETHUSDT | 67 | 65.7% | — |
| All · 1d | 147 | 68.7% | — |
Market
Timeframe
Account
History
Requested 1996-10-17 → 2026-10-18 · traded from 2019-04-09 (warm-up 600 bars)
Verdict
RECOMMENDEDwin rate · 80 trades
- Ended above the starting budget+184.0% · 1.313%
- Win rate 50% or above71.3%
- More than 50 trades80 trades
- Verdict rules v9
- Trades
- 80
- Timeframe
- 1D
- Tested over
- 2749 days
- Time in market
- 28.9%
high win rate · 80 trades
What to watch
- Could not be checked with doubled costs
- Could not be checked on unseen data (not run)
What the data supports
Months in profit
72% of months closed up
39 of 54 months in the tested window
Best month
+19.9%
2020-12 · 2 of 80 trades · best of 54 months
Made money after costs
profit factor 1.91
all 80 trades
Net return
+184.0%
all 80 trades
Proof
TradingView twin
BINANCE:BTCUSDT1DPosition sizeSlippage
- Position size TradingView sizes each order on the signal candle's close, so sizes differ slightly from the backtest.
- Slippage TradingView charges slippage as commission, so stop and market fills differ slightly.
Account balance
$10,000
Starting balance
$27,739
With the open position marked
$158,235
Buy & hold
- Balance
- Buy & hold
Trust scoreThe fixed factors behind the trust score, each with its own measurement.
A
Grade
RECOMMENDED
Verdict
Strategy replay
- SMA 200
Entry
83,516.71
Buy · 29 Sept 2026 · 4 bars
Stop loss
None
Exits on its rule
Take profit
None
Exits on its rule
Result
+1.51%
Exit rule at 84,863.07 · 2 Oct 2026
Trace4 steps
Signal
candle close
83,500.01
28 Sept 2026
Filled
next open
83,516.71
29 Sept 2026
No stop
none
29 Sept 2026
Exit · Exit rule
84,880.05
2 Oct 2026
Monthly returns
Wins and losses
- Wins57
- Losses23
Your rules
Buys when
close > SMA(200) and the close is the lowest close of the last 7 candles
Stop
None · no stop rule was given, none was invented
Target / exit
Rule exit · a close that is the highest close of the last 7 candles closes the trade at the next open
Risk per trade
Position: 100% of equity (no stop, so risk cannot be defined)
- After an exit
- The next entry signal is read from the candle after the exit, not on the exit candle
- Not modelled
- Margin calls, liquidation and CFD overnight financing; perpetual funding is charged when the data carries it
Latest trades
80 closed trades · 1 open at the end of the data, marked at the last close
| Date | Direction | Entry price | Exit price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sept 2026 | long | 83516.7100 | 84863.0740 | Win |
| 10 Sept 2026 | long | 78322.0913 | 80867.6832 | Win |
| 31 Aug 2026 | long | 77697.5364 | 81254.1159 | Win |
| 30 Oct 2025 | long | 110043.3043 | 105989.9278 | Loss |
| 11 Oct 2025 | long | 112797.0449 | 110982.6990 | Loss |
| 22 Sept 2025 | long | 115255.3365 | 114289.1076 | Loss |
| 19 Aug 2025 | long | 116250.2954 | 112042.8170 | Loss |
| 1 Aug 2025 | long | 115787.2228 | 117448.5256 | Win |
| 21 Jul 2025 | long | 117288.5630 | 119930.4391 | Win |
| 2 Jul 2025 | long | 105702.2662 | 108827.8201 | Win |
Monthly heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | — | — | — | open | 3.0% | -1.8% | 12.6% | -1.0% | 1.8% | -17.3% | — | — |
| 2020 | — | 3.3% | -6.8% | — | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 2.7% | open | 19.9% |
| 2021 | -2.1% | open | 9.4% | 4.4% | 10.5% | -20.9% | — | open | 5.4% | open | 4.0% | -23.3% |
| 2023 | — | 6.7% | 5.0% | -3.6% | 8.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | -5.0% | — | — | 12.1% | 5.7% |
| 2024 | 1.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 1.6% | -8.6% | -4.7% | — | 4.8% | 9.7% | 14.0% |
| 2025 | 4.2% | -1.8% | 2.8% | — | open | 4.1% | 5.1% | 1.3% | -4.6% | -1.7% | -3.8% | — |
| 2026 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | open | 7.8% | 1.5% | — | — |
Advanced Analysis