Backtest the Donchian Four-Week Rule on SOLUSDT
Rules: Four-Week Rule · as published marketcalls.in·learn-forextrading.org
Win rate
NOT RECOMMENDED43.5%
23 trades · 1D · 2920 days · Binance
Data through 2026-08-31 00:00 UTC
NOT RECOMMENDEDA fixed set of measured gates decides this. It is not an opinion and not advice.
Not recommended on this evidence
EvidenceWeak evidence
ReturnTotal simulated return
12127.8%
Account change over the tested window
Profit factorProfit per loss
11.33
Gross profit ÷ gross loss (above 1 = profitable)
Max drawdownDeepest closed-trade fall
-66.0%
Worst fall from a previous account peak
ReliabilityConfidence in test
43/100
How much this test can be trusted
Unseen-data edgeUnseen-data edge
n/a
Average result per trade on data never optimised on
Asked for "SOL" · tested SOLUSDT
What we actually tested
- · Daily close above the highest high of the previous 20 candles
- · Entry at the next candle open
- · Exit on a close below the lowest low of the previous 20 candles
Buys whenThe exact entry conditions that were executed for long trades.
close breaks above the 20-candle range
StopPosition sizing and stop rules exactly as executed. Nothing was added.
None — no stop rule was given, none was invented
Target / exitTarget, trailing and time exits exactly as executed.
Rule exit — a close below the 20-candle low closes the trade at the next open
Risk per tradePosition sizing and stop rules exactly as executed. Nothing was added.
Position: 100% of equity (no stop, so risk cannot be defined)
One real trade, most recent
One real trade from the tested ledger, drawn on the same candles the engine used.SOLUSDT · 1d · actual exchange candles executed by the engine
- Up candle
- Down candle
- Entry price
- Exit price
Entry
77.4755 · 2026-07-02
Initial stop
None — no stop-loss rule
Target
No fixed target
Exit
71.9356 · 2026-08-02
Each candle is one 1D bar: the thin line is the high-low range, the thick body is open-to-close. Vertical marks show when the trade opened and closed. One real trade, picked by recency — an illustration of the executed rules, not proof they will work again.
How $10,000 would have changed
The account balance after each closed trade, starting from the stated budget.Account value after every trade closed, in dollars
- Account value
Left axis is dollars, bottom axis is time. The line only moves when a trade closes, so flat stretches are periods the rules stayed out of the market.
Simulation on historical candles, not live trading. Full methodology in Pro depth.
This is the free view of a shared report. Run your own strategy on the same engine.
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