Backtestify
BACKTEST EXISTING2018-09-02 → 2026-08-31 · 8.0 yearsTested windowBTCUSDT (asked for "BTC") · 4h · history 2018-09-02 → 2026-08-31 (2920 days), identical for all timeframes · $10,000 account

Backtest the Steven Hart 50 EMA pullback strategy on BTCUSDT

Rules: 50 EMA pullback with engulfing entry · as published zenandtheartoftrading.com·tradingview.com

Win rate

NOT RECOMMENDED

51.6%

184 trades · 4H · 2920 days · Binance

Data through 2026-08-31 00:00 UTC

NOT RECOMMENDEDA fixed set of measured gates decides this. It is not an opinion and not advice.

Not recommended on this evidence

Tested an approximation of your rules — see 'What we actually tested'Part of your description could not be executed exactly, so the verdict is capped.Lost money after costs: profit factor 0.99Checks that gross profit covers gross loss by the required margin.Average trade is not positive: -0.003RCompares the average per-trade result against the minimum this app requires.

EvidenceMixed evidence

✓ Sample ≥ 100 trades184 trades in 2920 days✓ Unseen sample ≥ 30 trades63 trades✗ Profit factor ≥ 1.30.99✓ Drawdown ≤ 25%15.1%✓ Edge on unseen data > 00.005R✗ Edge with doubled costs > 0-0.049R✗ Rules tested exactlyapproximated

ReturnTotal simulated return

-1.5%

Account change over the tested window

Profit factorProfit per loss

0.99

Gross profit ÷ gross loss (above 1 = profitable)

Max drawdownDeepest closed-trade fall

-15.1%

Worst fall from a previous account peak

ReliabilityConfidence in test

63/100

How much this test can be trusted

Unseen-data edgeUnseen-data edge

n/a

Average result per trade on data never optimised on

Asked for "BTC" · tested BTCUSDT

What we actually tested

  • · Close above EMA(50)
  • · The candle low touches or crosses EMA(50)
  • · The previous candle is bearish and the signal candle is a bullish reversal candle
  • · Entry at the next candle open, stop 1 ATR below the 5-candle swing low, target 1R

Buys whenThe exact entry conditions that were executed for long trades.

close > EMA(50) and the candle low touches or crosses below EMA(50) and previous candle is bearish and the signal candle is a bullish reversal candle (bullish engulfing, or a hammer with a lower wick at least twice its body and the close in the top third)

StopPosition sizing and stop rules exactly as executed. Nothing was added.

lowest low of the 5 completed candles before the signal candle minus 1 × ATR(14)

Target / exitTarget, trailing and time exits exactly as executed.

1R (R = entry-to-stop distance)

Risk per tradePosition sizing and stop rules exactly as executed. Nothing was added.

1% of equity risked to the stop

One real trade, most recent

One real trade from the tested ledger, drawn on the same candles the engine used.
FROM TESTED HISTORY

BTCUSDT · 4h · actual exchange candles executed by the engine

LONGWIN · 0.97RTarget hit (TP)
Bought at 64,573.92 on 2026-07-29 08:00, stop at 62,111.49, target at 67,036.35. Closed at 67,022.95 on 2026-08-19 12:00 — Target hit (TP). Result: WIN (0.97R)
  • Up candle
  • Down candle
  • Entry price
  • Stop
  • Target
  • Exit price
  • EMA(50)

Entry

64,573.92 · 2026-07-29 08:00

Initial stop

62,111.49

Target

67,036.35

Exit

67,022.95 · 2026-08-19 12:00

Each candle is one 4H bar: the thin line is the high-low range, the thick body is open-to-close. Vertical marks show when the trade opened and closed. One real trade, picked by recency — an illustration of the executed rules, not proof they will work again.

How $10,000 would have changed

The account balance after each closed trade, starting from the stated budget.

Account value after every trade closed, in dollars

  • Account value

Left axis is dollars, bottom axis is time. The line only moves when a trade closes, so flat stretches are periods the rules stayed out of the market.

Simulation on historical candles, not live trading. Full methodology in Pro depth.

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